The impact of internal migration on population redistribution: an international comparison

Martin Bell, University of Queensland
Philip H. Rees, University of Leeds
Marek Kupiszewski, Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization PAS
Dorota Kupiszewska, Independent Consultant
Philipp Ueffing, University of Queensland
Aude Bernard, University of Queensland
Elin Charles-Edwards, University of Queensland
John Stillwell, University of Leeds

We know that internal migration shapes human settlement patterns but few attempts have been made to measure systematically the extent of population redistribution or make comparisons between countries. Robust comparisons are hampered by limited data access, different space-time frameworks and inadequate summary statistics. We use new analysis software (IMAGE Studio) to assess the effects of differences in the number and configuration of geographic zones and implement new measures to make comparisons between a large sample of countries, representing 80% of global population. We construct a new Index of Net Migration Impact (INMI) to measure system-wide population redistribution and examine the relative contributions of migration intensity and effectiveness to cross-national variations. We compare spatial patterns using the slope of a regression between migration and population density across zones in each country to indicate the direction and pace of population concentration. We report correlations between measures of population redistribution and national development and propose a general theoretical model suggesting how internal migration redistributes population across settlement systems during the development process.